BLUE MONDAY AT THE WHITE HOUSE – AT 8:01 A.M. ET:  The election will be held five weeks from tomorrow.  The president has been out campaigning, but it doesn't seem to help.

Mr. Obama has reached his lowest point yet in the RealClearPolitics average of polls.  Approve – 44.7%, disapprove – 51.1%, for a spread of 6.4%.

The numbers were derived by averaging the results from the latest major polls that measure presidential approval.  It is striking that average disapproval is now over 50%.  These are not "reelect" numbers.  If they continue past this election and into the presidential campaign, Mr. Obama will be in real, sustained trouble, and we might start hearing talk of an alternative Democratic nominee.  In other words, Ms. Hillary.

September 27, 2010